{"id":1443,"date":"2019-08-30T12:43:42","date_gmt":"2019-08-30T19:43:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/colleges.claremont.edu\/ccms\/?post_type=tribe_events&#038;p=1443"},"modified":"2020-02-27T10:13:51","modified_gmt":"2020-02-27T18:13:51","slug":"tba-17","status":"publish","type":"tribe_events","link":"https:\/\/colleges.claremont.edu\/ccms\/event\/tba-17\/","title":{"rendered":"Christopher Strickland: Modeling the prescription opioid epidemic"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\r\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\r\n<div class=\"gmail_quote\">\r\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\r\n<div>Opioid addiction has become a national health crisis in recent years, with involvement in 66% of all drug overdose deaths in 2016 and high economic costs. In contrast to the dynamics of a classic disease or illicit drug epidemic, opioid addiction has its roots in legal, prescription medication &#8211; a fact which greatly increases the exposed population and mathematically suggests non-contact based routes of infection.<br \/><br \/>In this talk, I will present a first epidemic model for opioid addiction and treatment. Through analysis of our model, we show that existence of an addiction-free equilibrium requires transforming the opioid dynamics into that of a purely illicit drug epidemic and that lacking prescription-induced addiction, the prescription drug epidemic may not be self-sustaining. Numerical analysis suggests specific targets for control. Following this, I will present preliminary results from a new model that examines the role of heroin and fentanyl on the epidemic in the context of data from the state of Tennessee. These results include a strong fit between model and data, and among other conclusions, suggest that an epidemic involving powerful, illicit opioids is now both self-sustaining and strongly on the rise despite a decline in prescription-based addictions.\r\n<div>\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<div>\u00a0<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Opioid addiction has become a national health crisis in recent years, with involvement in 66% of all drug overdose deaths in 2016 and high economic costs. In contrast to the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":116,"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_price":"","_stock":"","_tribe_ticket_header":"","_tribe_default_ticket_provider":"","_tribe_ticket_capacity":"0","_ticket_start_date":"","_ticket_end_date":"","_tribe_ticket_show_description":"","_tribe_ticket_show_not_going":false,"_tribe_ticket_use_global_stock":"","_tribe_ticket_global_stock_level":"","_global_stock_mode":"","_global_stock_cap":"","_tribe_rsvp_for_event":"","_tribe_ticket_going_count":"","_tribe_ticket_not_going_count":"","_tribe_tickets_list":"[]","_tribe_ticket_has_attendee_info_fields":false,"_tribe_events_status":"","_tribe_events_status_reason":"","_tribe_events_is_hybrid":"","_tribe_events_is_virtual":"","_tribe_events_virtual_video_source":"","_tribe_events_virtual_embed_video":"","_tribe_events_virtual_linked_button_text":"","_tribe_events_virtual_linked_button":"","_tribe_events_virtual_show_embed_at":"","_tribe_events_virtual_show_embed_to":[],"_tribe_events_virtual_show_on_event":"","_tribe_events_virtual_show_on_views":"","_tribe_events_virtual_url":"","footnotes":"","_tec_slr_enabled":"","_tec_slr_layout":""},"tags":[],"tribe_events_cat":[12],"class_list":["post-1443","tribe_events","type-tribe_events","status-publish","hentry","tribe_events_cat-colloquium","cat_colloquium"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Christopher Strickland: Modeling the prescription opioid epidemic - Claremont Center for the Mathematical Sciences<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/colleges.claremont.edu\/ccms\/event\/tba-17\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Christopher Strickland: Modeling the prescription opioid epidemic - Claremont Center for the Mathematical Sciences\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Opioid addiction has become a national health crisis in recent years, with involvement in 66% of all drug overdose deaths in 2016 and high economic costs. 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