Name: Initial Conditions and the Big Push (Daniel Velasquez, CMC)
Start: 2026-10-26T16:15:00-07:00
End: 2026-10-26T17:00:00-07:00
Location: Estella 1021 (Emmy Noether Room), Pomona College

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October 26 @ 4:15 pm - 5:00 pm

Initial Conditions and the Big Push (Daniel Velasquez, CMC)

Estella 1021 (Emmy Noether Room), Pomona College Claremont

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Monday, October 26, 2026

October 26, 2026 4:15 pm - 5:00 pm

Initial Conditions and the Big Push (Daniel Velasquez, CMC)

October 26 @ 4:15 pm - 5:00 pm

Initial Conditions and the Big Push (Daniel Velasquez, CMC)

This paper examines how initial conditions shape the long-run impact of large temporary shocks on economic geography. Using WWII supply contracts in the United States, we show that temporary spending had persistent effects on population and manufacturing employment only in counties with low initial manufacturing development. Motivated by these findings, we develop a multisector economic […]

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